*Policy brief

Key findings and recommendations from the H2020 projects on Tipping Points:

TiPES, COMFORT, TiPACCs available here.

 

In chronological order (most recent first, *papers led by the COMFORT's Early Career Scientists):

Published 5 October 2022: Orr, J. C., Kwiatkowski, L., & Pörtner, H.-O. (2022). Arctic Ocean annual high in pCO2 could shift from winter to summer. Nature, 610(7930), 94–100. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05205-y

*Published 29 September 2022: Santana-Falcón, Y., & Séférian, R. (2022). Climate change impacts the vertical structure of marine ecosystem thermal ranges. Nature Climate Change, 12(10), 935–942. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01476-5

*Published 16 September 2022: Seifert, M., Nissen, C., Rost, B., & Hauck, J. (2022). Cascading effects augment the direct impact of CO2 on phytoplankton growth in a biogeochemical model. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 10(1), 104. https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2021.00104

*Published 25 August: Arellano-Nava, B., Halloran, P. R., Boulton, C. A., Scourse, J., Butler, P. G., Reynolds, D. J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Destabilisation of the Subpolar North Atlantic prior to the Little Ice Age. Nature Communications, 13(1), 5008. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32653-x
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*Published 16 August 2022: Burger, F. A., Terhaar, J., & Frölicher, T. L. (2022). Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes. Nature Communications, 13(1), 4722. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32120-7
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Published 28 July 2022: Vaittinada Ayar, P., Bopp, L., Christian, J. R., Ilyina, T., Krasting, J. P., Séférian, R., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yool, A., & Tjiputra, J. (2022). Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario. Earth System Dynamics, 13(3), 1097–1118. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022
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*Published 14 June 2022: Nissen, C., Timmermann, R., Hoppema, M., Gürses, Ö., & Hauck, J. (2022). Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100. Nature Communications, 13(1), 3402. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30671-3
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*Published 28 May 2022: Köhn, E. E., Münnich, M., Vogt, M., Desmet, F., & Gruber, N. (2022). Strong Habitat Compression by Extreme Shoaling Events of Hypoxic Waters in the Eastern Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127(6), e2022JC018429. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018429
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*Published 26 May 2022: Oziel, L., Schourup-Kristensen, V., Wekerle, C., & Hauck, J. (2022). The Pan-Arctic Continental Slope as an Intensifying Conveyer Belt for Nutrients in the Central Arctic Ocean (1985–2015). Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 36(6), e2021GB007268. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007268
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*Published 9 May 2022: Cael, B. B., Begouen Demeaux, C., Henson, S., Stock, C. A., Taboada, F. G., John, J. G., & Barton, A. D. (2022). Marine Ecosystem Changepoints Spread Under Ocean Warming in an Earth System Model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 127(5), e2021JG006571. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JG006571
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*Published 3 May 2022: Vogt, L., Burger, F. A., Griffies, S. M., & Frölicher, T. L. (2022). Local Drivers of Marine Heatwaves: A Global Analysis With an Earth System Model. Frontiers in Climate, 4. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.847995
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Published 26 April: Mogen, S. C., Lovenduski, N. S., Dallmann, A. R., Gregor, L., Sutton, A. J., Bograd, S. J., Quiros, N. C., Di Lorenzo, E., Hazen, E. L., Jacox, M. G., Buil, M. P., & Yeager, S. (2022). Ocean Biogeochemical Signatures of the North Pacific Blob. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(9), e2021GL096938. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096938
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Published 26 April 2022: Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O’Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Anthoni, P., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., … Zeng, J. (2022). Global Carbon Budget 2021. Earth System Science Data, 14(4), 1917–2005. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022
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Published 20 April 2022: Desmet, F., Gruber, N., Köhn, E. E., Münnich, M., & Vogt, M. (2022). Tracking the Space-Time Evolution of Ocean Acidification Extremes in the California Current System and Northeast Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127(5), e2021JC018159. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC018159
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Published 04 April 2022: Frémont, P., Gehlen, M., Vrac, M., Leconte, J., Delmont, T. O., Wincker, P., Iudicone, D., & Jaillon, O. (2022). Restructuring of plankton genomic biogeography in the surface ocean under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 12(4), 393–401. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01314-8
Self-archived version available here: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.20.347237v8
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Published 22 March 2022: Żebrowski, P., Dieckmann, U., Brännström, Å., Franklin, O., & Rovenskaya, E. (2022). Sharing the Burdens of Climate Mitigation and Adaptation: Incorporating Fairness Perspectives into Policy Optimization Models. In Sustainability (Vol. 14, Issue 7). https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073737
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Published 1 March 2022: Schwinger, J., Asaadi, A., Goris, N., & Lee, H. (2022). Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions. Nature Communications, 13(1), 1095. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5
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Published 25 February 2022: Norberg, J., Blenckner, T., Cornell, S. E., Petchey, O. L., & Hillebrand, H. (2022). Failures to disagree are essential for environmental science to effectively influence policy development. Ecology Letters, 00, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13984
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Published 16 February 2022: Völker, C., & Ye, Y. (2022). Feedbacks Between Ocean Productivity and Organic Iron Complexation in Reaction to Changes in Ocean Iron Supply. Frontiers in Marine Science, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.777334
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Published 11 February 2022: Pérez-Almeida, N., González, A. G., Santana-Casiano, J. M., & González-Dávila, M. (2022). Ocean Acidification Effect on the Iron-Gallic Acid Redox Interaction in Seawater. Frontiers in Marine Science, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.837363
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Published 4 February 2022: Arnone, V., González-Santana, D., González-Dávila, M., González, A. G., & Santana-Casiano, J. M. (2022). Iron and copper complexation in Macaronesian coastal waters. Marine Chemistry, 240, 104087. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2022.104087
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Published 25 January 2022: Santana-Casiano, J. M., González-Santana, D., Devresse, Q., Hepach, H., Santana-González, C., Quack, B., Engel, A., & González-Dávila, M. (2022). Exploring the Effects of Organic Matter Characteristics on Fe(II) Oxidation Kinetics in Coastal Seawater. Environmental Science & Technology, 56(4), 2718–2728. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c04512

Published 21 January: Qiu, C., Ciais, P., Zhu, D., Guenet, B., Chang, J., Chaudhary, N., Kleinen, T., Li, X., Müller, J., Xi, Y., Zhang, W., Ballantyne, A., Brewer, S. C., Brovkin, V., Charman, D. J., Gustafson, A., Gallego-Sala, A. V, Gasser, T., Holden, J., … Westermann, S. (2022). A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands. One Earth, 5(1), 86–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008
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Published 18 January 2022: Palacios-Abrantes, J., Frölicher, T. L., Reygondeau, G., Sumaila, U. R., Tagliabue, A., Wabnitz, C. C. C., & Cheung, W. W. L. (2022). Timing and magnitude of climate-driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management. Global Change Biology, 28(7), 2312–2326. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16058

*Published 17 January 2022: Bourgeois, T., Goris, N., Schwinger, J., & Tjiputra, J. F. (2022). Stratification constrains future heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean between 30°S and 55°S. Nature Communications, 13(1), 340. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-27979-5
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Published 1 January 2022: Aksenov, Y., Rynders, S., Feltham, D. L., Hosekova, L., Marsh, R., Skliris, N., Bertino, L., Williams, T. D., Popova, E., Yool, A., Nurser, A. J. G., Coward, A., Bricheno, L., Srokosz, M., & Heorton, H. (2022). Safer Operations in Changing Ice-Covered Seas: Approaches and Perspectives BT - IUTAM Symposium on Physics and Mechanics of Sea Ice (J. Tuhkuri & A. Polojärvi (eds.); pp. 241–260). Springer International Publishing.

Published 27 December 2021: Frischknecht, T., Ekici, A., & Joos, F. (2022). Radiocarbon in the Land and Ocean Components of the Community Earth System Model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 36(1), e2021GB007042. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007042

Published 15 December 2021: Gruber, N., Boyd, P. W., Frölicher, T. L., & Vogt, M. (2021). Biogeochemical extremes and compound events in the ocean. Nature, 600(7889), 395–407. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03981-7
Self-archived version (publicly available on 14.06.2022): https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/521508
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Published 25 November 2021: Tagliabue, A., Kwiatkowski, L., Bopp, L., Butenschön, M., Cheung, W., Lengaigne, M., & Vialard, J. (2021). Persistent Uncertainties in Ocean Net Primary Production Climate Change Projections at Regional Scales Raise Challenges for Assessing Impacts on Ecosystem Services. Frontiers in Climate, 3. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.738224
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Published 19 November 2021: Xu, R., Tian, H., Pan, N., Thompson, R. L., Canadell, J. G., Davidson, E. A., Nevison, C., Winiwarter, W., Shi, H., Pan, S., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dangal, S. R. S., Ito, A., Jackson, R. B., Joos, F., Lauerwald, R., Lienert, S., Maavara, T., … Zhou, F. (2021). Magnitude and Uncertainty of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From North America Based on Bottom-Up and Top-Down Approaches: Informing Future Research and National Inventories. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(23), e2021GL095264. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095264

Published 18 November: Landy, J. C., Bouffard, J., Wilson, C., Rynders, S., Aksenov, Y., & Tsamados, M. (2021). Improved Arctic Sea Ice Freeboard Retrieval From Satellite Altimetry Using Optimized Sea Surface Decorrelation Scales. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(12), e2021JC017466. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017466

Published 15 November 2021: Spring, A., Dunkl, I., Li, H., Brovkin, V., & Ilyina, T. (2021). Trivial improvements in predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of the global carbon cycle. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12(4), 1139–1167. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021
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Published 15 November 2021: Roy, T., Sallée, J. B., Bopp, L., & Metzl, N. (2021). Diagnosing CO2-Emission-Induced Feedbacks between the Southern Ocean Carbon Cycle and the Climate System: A Multiple Earth System Model Analysis Using a Water Mass Tracking Approach. Journal of Climate, 34(22), 9071–9092. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0889.1

Published 6 November 2021: Bardon, L. R., Ward, B. A., Dutkiewicz, S., & Cael, B. B. (2021). Testing the Skill of a Species Distribution Model Using a 21st Century Virtual Ecosystem. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(22), e2021GL093455. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093455
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*Published 29 October 2021: Cael, B. B., Dutkiewicz, S., & Henson, S. (2021). Abrupt shifts in 21st-century plankton communities. Science Advances, 7(44), eabf8593. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abf8593
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Published 28 October 2021: Wernberg, Thomas, Smale, Dan A., Frölicher, Thomas L., & Smith, Adam J. P. (2021). Climate change increases marine heatwaves harming marine ecosystems. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5596820

Published 06 October 2021: Drinkwater, K. F., Harada, N., Nishino, S., Chierici, M., Danielson, S. L., Ingvaldsen, R. B., Kristiansen, T., Hunt Jr, G. L., Mueter, F., & Stiansen, J. E. (2021). Possible future scenarios for two major Arctic Gateways connecting Subarctic and Arctic marine systems: I. Climate and physical–chemical oceanography. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 78(9), 3046–3065. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab182
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Published 1 October 2021: Tivig, M., Keller, D. P., & Oschlies, A. (2021). Riverine nitrogen supply to the global ocean and its limited impact on global marine primary production: a feedback study using an Earth system model. Biogeosciences, 18(19), 5327–5350. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5327-2021
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Published 1 October 2021: Cheung, W. W. L., Frölicher, T. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Oyinlola, M. A., Reygondeau, G., Sumaila, U. R., Tai, T. C., Teh, L. C. L., & Wabnitz, C. C. C. (2021). Marine high temperature extremes amplify the impacts of climate change on fish and fisheries. Science Advances, 7(40), eabh0895. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abh0895
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Published 1 October 2021: Blenckner, T., Ammar, Y., Müller-Karulis, B., Niiranen, S., Arneborg, L., & Li, Q. (2021). The Risk for Novel and Disappearing Environmental Conditions in the Baltic Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 1398. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.745722
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Published 10 September 2021: Henson, S. A., Cael, B. B., Allen, S. R., & Dutkiewicz, S. (2021). Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climate. Nature Communications, 12(1), 5372. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25699-w
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Published 26 August 2021: Andersson, T. R., Hosking, J. S., Pérez-Ortiz, M., Paige, B., Elliott, A., Russell, C., Law, S., Jones, D. C., Wilkinson, J., Phillips, T., Byrne, J., Tietsche, S., Sarojini, B. B., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Aksenov, Y., Downie, R., & Shuckburgh, E. (2021). Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning. Nature Communications, 12(1), 5124. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4

Published 18 August 2021: Wilson, C., Aksenov, Y., Rynders, S., Kelly, S. J., Krumpen, T., & Coward, A. C. (2021). Significant variability of structure and predictability of Arctic Ocean surface pathways affects basin-wide connectivity. Communications Earth & Environment, 2(1), 164. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00237-0
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Published 17 August 2021: Solomon, A., Heuzé, C., Rabe, B., Bacon, S., Bertino, L., Heimbach, P., Inoue, J., Iovino, D., Mottram, R., Zhang, X., Aksenov, Y., McAdam, R., Nguyen, A., Raj, R. P., & Tang, H. (2021). Freshwater in the Arctic Ocean 2010–2019. Ocean Sci., 17(4), 1081–1102. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1081-2021

Published 13 August 2021: Ziegler, M., Anton, A., Klein, S. G., Rädecker, N., Geraldi, N. R., Schmidt-Roach, S., Saderne, V., Mumby, P. J., Cziesielski, M. J., Martin, C., Frölicher, T. L., Pandolfi, J. M., Suggett, D. J., Aranda, M., Duarte, C. M., & Voolstra, C. R. (2021). Integrating environmental variability to broaden the research on coral responses to future ocean conditions. Global Change Biology, 27(21), 5532–5546. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15840
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Published 3 August 2021: Klein, S. G., Geraldi, N. R., Anton, A., Schmidt-Roach, S., Ziegler, M., Cziesielski, M. J., Martin, C., Rädecker, N., Frölicher, T. L., Mumby, P. J., Pandolfi, J. M., Suggett, D. J., Voolstra, C. R., Aranda, M., & Duarte, C. M. (2022). Projecting coral responses to intensifying marine heatwaves under ocean acidification. Global Change Biology, 28(5), 1753–1765. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15818

Published 29 July 2021: Bell, J. D., Senina, I., Adams, T., Aumont, O., Calmettes, B., Clark, S., Dessert, M., Gehlen, M., Gorgues, T., Hampton, J., Hanich, Q., Harden-Davies, H., Hare, S. R., Holmes, G., Lehodey, P., Lengaigne, M., Mansfield, W., Menkes, C., Nicol, S., … Williams, P. (2021). Pathways to sustaining tuna-dependent Pacific Island economies during climate change. Nature Sustainability, 4(10), 900–910. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00745-z
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Published 28 July 2021: New, A. L., Smeed, D. A., Czaja, A., Blaker, A. T., Mecking, J. V, Mathews, J. P., & Sanchez-Franks, A. (2021). Labrador Slope Water connects the subarctic with the Gulf Stream. Environmental Research Letters, 16(8), 84019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1293
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Published 9 July 2021: Somes, C. J., Dale, A. W., Wallmann, K., Scholz, F., Yao, W., Oschlies, A., Muglia, J., Schmittner, A., & Achterberg, E. P. (2021). Constraining Global Marine Iron Sources and Ligand-Mediated Scavenging Fluxes With GEOTRACES Dissolved Iron Measurements in an Ocean Biogeochemical Model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35(8), e2021GB006948. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB006948
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Published 8 July 2021: Burt, D. J., Fröb, F., & Ilyina, T. (2021). The Sensitivity of the Marine Carbonate System to Regional Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement. Frontiers in Climate, 3, 68. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.624075
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Published 7 July 2021: Pérez, F. F., Olafsson, J., Ólafsdóttir, S. R., Fontela, M., & Takahashi, T. (2021). Contrasting drivers and trends of ocean acidification in the subarctic Atlantic. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 13991. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93324-3
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Published 18 June 2021: Müller, J., & Joos, F. (2021). Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum. Biogeosciences, 18(12), 3657–3687. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021

*Published 4 June 2021: Cael, B. B., & Mashayek, A. (2021). Log-Skew-Normality of Ocean Turbulence. Physical Review Letters, 126(22), 224502. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.224502

*Published 18 April 2021: Cael, B. B., Bisson, K., Conte, M., Duret, M. T., Follett, C. L., Henson, S. A., Honda, M. C., Iversen, M. H., Karl, D. M., Lampitt, R. S., Mouw, C. B., Muller-Karger, F., Pebody, C. A., Smith Jr., K. L., & Talmy, D. (2021). Open Ocean Particle Flux Variability From Surface to Seafloor. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(9), e2021GL092895. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL092895

Published 16 April 2021: Oschlies, A. (2021). A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss. Nature Communications, 12(1), 2307. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22584-4
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Published 14 April 2021: Carracedo, L. I., Mercier, H., McDonagh, E., Rosón, G., Sanders, R., Moore, C. M., Torres-Valdés, S., Brown, P., Lherminier, P., & Pérez, F. F. (2021). Counteracting Contributions of the Upper and Lower Meridional Overturning Limbs to the North Atlantic Nutrient Budgets: Enhanced Imbalance in 2010. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35(6), e2020GB006898. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006898
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Published 12 April 2021: Stranne, C., Nilsson, J., Ulfsbo, A., O'Regan, M., Coxall, HK, Meire, L., Muchowski, J., Mayer, LA, Brüchert, V., Fredriksson, J., Thornton, B., Chawarski, J., West, G., Weidner, E., & Jakobsson, M. (2021). The climate sensitivity of northern Greenland fjords is amplified through sea-ice damming. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1), 70. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00140-8
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Published 5 April 2021: Lauderdale, J. M., & Cael, B. B. (2021). Impact of Remineralization Profile Shape on the Air-Sea Carbon Balance. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (7), e2020GL091746. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091746. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091746
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*Published 2 April 2021: García-Ibáñez, M. I., Bates, N. R., Bakker, D. C. E., Fontela, M., & Velo, A. (2021). Cold-water corals in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean exposed to aragonite undersaturation if the 2 ° C global warming target is not met. Global and Planetary Change, 201, 103480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103480
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Published 1 April 2021: Terhaar, J., Torres, O., Bourgeois, T., & Kwiatkowski, L. (2021). Arctic Ocean acidification over the 21st century co-driven by anthropogenic carbon increases and freshening in the CMIP6 model ensemble. Biogeosciences, 18 (6), 2221–2240. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2221-2021
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*Published 24 March 2021: Le Grix, N., Zscheischler, J., Laufkötter, C., Rousseaux, C. S., & Frölicher, T. L. (2021). Compound high-temperature and low-chlorophyll extremes in the ocean over the satellite period. Biogeosciences, 18 (6), 2119–2137. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2119-2021
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Published 19 March 2021: Fontela, M., Velo, A., Gilcoto, M., & Pérez, F. F. (2021). Anthropogenic CO2 and ocean acidification in Argentine Basin Water Masses over almost five decades of observations. Science of The Total Environment, 779, 146570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146570
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Published 11 March 2021: Pöppelmeier, F., Scheen, J., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., & Stocker, T. F. (2021). Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum. Climate of the Past, 17(2), 615–632. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-615-2021
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Published 9 March 2021: Steinbach, J., Holmstrand, H., Shcherbakova, K., Kosmach, D., Brüchert, V., Shakhova, N., Salyuk, A., Sapart, C. J., Chernykh, D., Noormets, R., Semiletov, I., & Gustafsson, Ö. (2021). Source apportionment of methane escaping the subsea permafrost system in the outer Eurasian Arctic Shelf. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(10), e2019672118 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2019672118
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Published 8 March 2021: García-Lafuente, J., Sammartino, S., Huertas, I. E., Flecha, S., Sánchez-Leal, R. F., Naranjo, C., Nadal, I., & Bellanco, M. J. (2021). Hotter and Weaker Mediterranean Outflow as a Response to Basin-Wide Alterations. Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 150. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.613444
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*Published 2 March 2021: Gregor, L., & Gruber, N. (2021). OceanSODA-ETHZ: a global gridded data set of the surface ocean carbonate system for seasonal to decadal studies of ocean acidification. Earth System Science Data, 13(2), 777–808. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-777-2021
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Published 2 March 2021: Torres, O., Kwiatkowski, L., Sutton, A. J., Dorey, N., Orr, J. C. (2021) Characterising mean and extreme diurnal variability of ocean CO2 system variables across marine environments, Geophys. Res. Lett., e2020GL090228, accepted, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090228
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Published 24 February 2021: Fassbender, A. J., Orr, J. C., & Dickson, A. G. (2021). Technical note: Interpreting pH changes. Biogeosciences, 18 (4), 1407–1415. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-1407-2021
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Published 22 February 2021: Heinze, C., Blenckner, T., Martins, H., Rusiecka, D., Döscher, R., Gehlen, M., Gruber, N., Holland, E., Hov, Ø., Joos, F., Matthews, J. B. R., Rødven, R., & Wilson, S. (2021). The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118 (9), https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2008478118
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Published 09 February 2021: Zakem, E. J., Cael, B. B., & Levine, N. M. (2021). A unified theory for organic matter accumulation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118 (6). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2016896118
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*Published 1 February 2021: Cael, B. B., Cavan, E. L., & Britten, G. L. (2021). Reconciling the Size-Dependence of Marine Particle Sinking Speed. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(5), e2020GL091771. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091771
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Published 22 January 2021: Waldman, R., Hirschi, J., Voldoire, A., Cassou, C., & Msadek, R. (2021). Clarifying the Relation between AMOC and Thermal Wind: Application to the Centennial Variability in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 51(2), 343–364. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0284.1
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Published 18 January 2021: Wefing, A.-M., Casacuberta, N., Christl, M., Gruber, N., & Smith, J. N. (2021). Circulation timescales of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean determined from anthropogenic radionuclides. Ocean Science, 17(1), 111–129. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-111-2021
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Published 12 January 2021: Ammar Y., S. Niiranen, S. A. Otto, C. Möllmann, W. Finsinger, and T. Blenckner: The rise of novelty in marine ecosystems: The Baltic Sea case, Glob Change Biol, 00:1/15, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15503
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Published 11 December 2020: Pinsky, M. L., Rogers, L. A., Morley, J. W., & Frölicher, T. L. (2020). Ocean planning for species on the move provides substantial benefits and requires few trade-offs. Science Advances, 6(50), eabb8428. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abb8428
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*Published 3 December 2020: Jeltsch-Thömmes A., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos: Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO2 emissions, Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 124026, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc4af
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Published 27 November 2020: Fontela, M., F.F. Pérez, H. Mercier, and P. Lherminier: North Atlantic Western Boundary Currents Are Intense Dissolved Organic Carbon Streams, Front. Mar. Sci. 7:593757, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.593757
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Published 04 November 2020: Padin, X.A., A. Velo, and F.F. Pérez: ARIOS: a database for ocean acidification assessment in the Iberian upwelling system (1976–2018), Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2647–2663, 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2647-2020
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Published 27 October 2020: Hauck, J., M. Zeising, C. Le Quéré, N. Gruber, D. C. E. Bakker, L. Bopp,  T. T. T. Chau, Ö. Gürses, T. Ilyina, P. Landschützer,  A. Lenton, L. Resplandy, C. Rödenbeck, J. Schwinger, and R. Séférian: Consistency and challenges in the ocean carbon sink estimate for the Global Carbon Budget. Front. Mar. Sci., 7: 571720.  https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.571720
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Published 15 October 2020: Reygondeau G., W. W. L. Cheung, C. C. C. Wabnitz, V. W. Y. Lam, T. L. Frölicher, and O. Maury: Climate Change-Induced Emergence of Novel Biogeochemical Provinces, Front. Mar. Sci. 7:657, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00657
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*Published 25 September 2020: Burger, F.A., J. G. John, and T. L. Frölicher: Increase in ocean acidity variability and extremes under increasing atmospheric CO2, Biogeosciences, 17, 4633–4662, 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4633-2020
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Published 09 September 2020: Álvarez‐Salgado, X.A., J. Otero, S. Flecha, and I.E. Huertas: Seasonality of Dissolved Organic Carbon Exchange Across the Strait of Gibraltar, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089601, 2020.  https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089601
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Published 07 September 2020: Fontela, M., F.F. Pérez, L.I. Carracedo, X.A. Padín, A. Velo, M.I. García‑Ibañez, and P. Lherminier: The Northeast Atlantic is running out of excess carbonate in the horizon of cold‑water corals communities, Scientific Reports, 10, 14714, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71793-2
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Published 02 September 2020: Rodgers, K. B., S. Schlunegger, R.D. Slater, M. Ishii, T. L. Frölicher, and K. Toyama: Reemergence of anthropogenic carbon into theocean's mixed layer strongly amplifies transient climate sensitivity, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089275. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089275
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Published 18 August 2020: Séférian, R., S. Berthet, A. Yool, J. Palmiéri, L. Bopp, A. Tagliabue, L. Kwiatkowski, O. Aumont, J. Christian, J. Dunne, M. Gehlen, T. Ilyina, J.G. John,  Hongmei Li, Matthew C. Long, J.Y. Luo, H. Nakano,  A. Romanou, J. Schwinger, C. Stock, Ye. Santana-Falcón, Y. Takano, J. Tjiputra, H. Tsujino, M. Watanabe, T. Wu, F. Wu1, and A. Yamamoto: Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6, Current Climate Change Reports, 6, 95–119, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0
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Published 10 August 2020: Robson, J., Y. Aksenov, T.J. Bracegirdle, O. Dimdore-Miles, P.T. Griths, D.P. Grosvenor, D.L.R. Hodson, J. Keeble, C. MacIntosh, A. Megann, S. Osprey, A.C. Povey, D. Schröder, M. Yang, A.T. Archibald, K.S. Carslaw, L. Gray, C. Jones, B. Kerridge, D. Knappett, T Kuhlbrodt, M. Russo, A. Sellar, R. Siddans, B. Sinha, R. Sutton, J. Walton, L.J. Wilcox: The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2020MS002126, 2020.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002126
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Published 06 August 2020: Frölicher T. L., M. T. Aschwanden, N. Gruber, S. L. Jaccard, J. P. Dunne, and D. Paynter: Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to Protracted Global Warming, Global Biogeochemical Cycles , Volume34, Issue8, e2020GB006601, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006601
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Published 04 August 2020: Lam, V. W. Y., Allison, E. H., Bell, J. D., Blythe, J., Cheung, W. W. L., Frölicher, T. L., Gasalla, M. A., & Sumaila, U. R. (2020). Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1(9), 440–454. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9
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Published 23 July 2020: Schlunegger, S., K. B. Rodgers, J. L. Sarmiento, T. Ilyina, J. P. Dunne, Yohei Takano, James R. Christian, Matthew C. Long, T. L. Frölicher, R. Slater, and F. Lehner: Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34e2019GB006453,  https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GB006453
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Published 06 July 2020: Kwiatkowski, L., O. Torres, L. Bopp, O. Aumont, M. Chamberlain, J.R. Christian, J.P. Dunne, M. Gehlen, T. Ilyina, J.G. John, A. Lenton, H. Li, N.S. Lovenduski, J.C. Orr, J. Palmieri, Y. Santana-Falcón, J. Schwinger, R. Séférian, C.A. Stock, A. Tagliabue, Y. Takano, J. Tjiputra, K. Toyama, H. Tsujino, M. Watanabe, A. Yamamoto, A. Yool, and T. Ziehn: Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections, Biogeosciences, 17, 3439–3470, 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020
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Published 19 June 2020: Franke, A., T. Blenckner, C.M. Duarte, K. Ott, L.E. Fleming, A. Antia, T.B.H. Reusch, C. Bertram, J. Hein, U. Kronfeld-Goharani, J. Dierking, A. Kuhn, C. Sato, E. van Doorn, M. Wall, M. Schartau, R. Karez, L. Crowder, D. Keller, A. Engel, U. Hentschel, and E. Prigge: Operationalizing Ocean Health: Toward Integrated Research on Ocean Health and Recovery to Achieve Ocean Sustainability, One Earth, 2, 557–65, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.013
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Published June 2020: Kaderli Severin, Detection of changepoints in ocean time series, Bachelor thesis. Cimate and Environmental Physics (CEP), University of Bern, Supervisors T. Frölicher and F. Burger.

Published 11 May 2020: Terhaar, J., T. Tanhua, T. Stöven, J. C. Orr, and L. Bopp: Evaluation of Data‐Based Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2020JC016124, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016124
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Published 07 May 2020: Fernandes, J.A., L. Rutterford, S.D. Simpson, M. Butenschön, T.L. Frölicher, A. Yool, W.W.L. Cheung, A. Grant: Can we project changes in fish abundance and distribution in response to climate? Glob Change Biol. , vol 2020:00, 1–15, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15081
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*Published on 27 April 2020: Cael, B.B., A. Chase, E. Boss: Information content of absorption spectra and implications for ocean color inversion, Applied Optics, 59, 13, 3971-3984, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1364/AO.389189
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Published on 21 April 2020: Cheung, W.W.L., and T.L. Frölicher: Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific, Scientific Reports, 10, 6678, 10 pages, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z
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Published on 07 April 2020: Hameau, A., T.L. Frölicher, J. Mignot, and F. Joos: Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline? Biogeosciences, 17, 1877–1895, 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1877-2020
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*Published 05 February 2020: Kelly, S.J., E. Popova , Y. Aksenov, R. Marsh , and A. Yool: They Came From the Pacific: How Changing Arctic Currents Could Contribute to an Ecological Regime Shift in the Atlantic Ocean, Ocean. Earth's Future, 8, e2019EF001394, 2020.https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001394
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Published on 17 January 2020: Albouy, C., V. Delattre, G. Donati, T.L. Frölicher, S. Albouy-Boyer, M. Rufino, L. Pellissier, D. Mouillot, and Fabien Leprieur: Global vulnerability of marine mammals to global warming, Scientific Reports, 10:548, 12 pages, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-57280-3
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Published 05 November 2019: Smalås, A., J.F. Strøm, P.-A. Amundsen, U. Dieckmann, and R. Primicerio: Climate warming is predicted to enhance the negative effects of harvesting on high-latitude lake fish, J Appl Ecol., 57, 270–282, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13535
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Published on 29 October 2019: Flecha, S., F.F. Pérez, A. Murata, A. Makaoui, and I.E. Huertas: Decadal acidification in Atlantic and Mediterranean water masses exchanging at the Strait of Gibraltar. Scientific Reports 9, 15533, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-52084-x
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*Published 14 October 2019: Senina, I.N. P. Lehodey, J. Hampton, and J.Sibert: Quantitative modelling of the spatial dynamics of South Pacific and Atlantic albacore tuna populations, Deep–Sea Research II, 175, 104667, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2019.104667
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